联合国贸发会议（UNCTAD）：2026全球贸易更新报告（1月版）（英文版）（22页）.pdf

1、Top trends redefining global trade in 2026Policy Insights Adobe StockGlobal tradeupdateJANUARY 2026KEY TRENDS12345678910Global economic and trade growth slows developing countries will face headwinds.Updating the rules WTO reform at a crossroads for global trade in 2026.Tariffs on the rise increased

2、 protectionism may trigger greater policy uncertainty.Value chains continue to reconfigure geopolitics redraws trade and investment maps.Servicification of trade exports of services continue to grow faster than goods.SouthSouth trade surge developing countries drive global export growth.Sustainable

3、trade environment will continue to be part of global trade initiatives.Critical minerals-oversupply and geopolitics may destabilize trade and global value chains.Feeding the future agricultural trade will remain fundamental to food security.Trade regulations tighten national policies reshape global

4、commerce.JANUARY 2026Global tradeUpdate2Policy insightsGlobal economic and trade growth slows developing countries will face headwinds Global growth remains sluggish.Global economic growth in 2026 will moderate trade prospects,investment flows,and policy choices.UNCTAD estimates global growth will r

5、emain subdued at 2.6 per cent in 2025 and 2026,despite potential gains from technologies such as artificial intelligence.1 Growth in developing economies(excluding China)is expected to ease slightly to 4.2 per cent in 2026,down from 4.3 per cent in 2025,pointing to a volatile external environment.2

6、Major economies will also lose momentum.The United States growth is projected at 1.5 per cent in 2026,down from 1.8 per cent in 2025,while Chinaan essential trade and investment partner for many developing countriesis expected to expand by 4.6 per cent in 2026,down from 5 per cent in 2025.In Europe,