麦肯锡：自动驾驶的未来-便利与互联（2023）（英文版）（12页）.pdf

1、McKinsey Center for Future MobilityAutonomous drivings future:Convenient and connectedBy 2035,autonomous driving could create$300 billion to$400billion in revenue.New research reveals whats needed to win in the fast-changing passenger car market.This report is a collaborative effort by Johannes Deic

2、hmann,Eike Ebel,Kersten Heineke,Ruth Heuss,Martin Kellner,and Fabian Steiner,representing views from the McKinsey Center for Future Mobility.January 2023 Chesky_W/Getty ImagesThe dream of seeing fleets of driverless cars efficiently delivering people to their destinations has captured consumers imag

3、inations and fueled billions of dollars in investment in recent years.But even after some setbacks that have pushed out timelines for autonomous-vehicle(AV)launches and delayed customer adoption,the mobility community still broadly agrees that autonomous driving(AD)has the potential to transform tra

4、nsportation,consumer behavior,and society at large.Because of this,AD could create massive value for the auto industry,generating hundreds of billions of dollars before the end of this decade,McKinsey research shows.1 To realize the consumer and commercial benefits of autonomous driving,however,auto

5、 OEMs and suppliers may need to develop new sales and business strategies,acquire new technological capabilities,and address concerns about safety.This report,which focuses on the private-passenger-car segment of the AD market,examines the potential for autonomous technologies to disrupt the passeng

6、er car market.It also outlines critical success factors that every auto OEM,supplier,and tech provider should know in order to win in the AD passenger car market.(Other McKinsey publications explore the potential of shared AVs such as robo-taxis and robo-shuttles,as well as autonomous trucks and aut