未来今日战略集团：2026年融合趋势展望报告：创造性破坏的新节奏（第一版）（英文版）（318页）.pdf

1、Convergence Outlook 20261ST EDITIONThe new timing of creative destructionINTRODUCTIONCONVERGENCE OUTLOOK 2026Heywheres my trend report?Youre right to ask.This would have been FTSGs 19th annual Tech Trends Report.Instead,we made a deliberate choice to retire the format.This year marks the launch of s

2、omething new:the first edition of our Convergence Outlook.Youre still getting our best-in-class research.Whats changed is our framing.The insights ahead are designed to be more urgent,more actionable,and far more relevant to the decisions leaders are facing right now.If the old trends report helped

3、you see whats coming,we built our Convergence Outlook to help you decide what to do next.More on why we made this shiftand what it means for youin the pages that follow.A NOTE FROM FTSG 2026 Future Today Strategy Group.All Rights Reserved.3TABLE OF CONTENTSCONVERGENCE OUTLOOK 2026Introduction06Welco

4、me to our Convergence Outlook 08Letter from Amy Webb 12Why Everything Feels Like its Changing at Once 14From Foresight to Action 16Whats Really Changing(and What That Means)18The Global Operating Environment 20Technology Forces 24Economic Forces 30Geopolitical Forces 36Demographic and Social Forces

5、44Environmental and Climate Forces 50Convergences60The Convergence Landscape 62Section One:Power Is Physical Again 66Compute Shock 68Polycompute92Section Two:When Machines Take the Wheel 108Agentic Economies and Post-Search Internet 110The New Labor Equation 140Section Three:A World That Watches Bac

6、k 162Human Augmentation 164The Corporate Panopticon 194Section Four:When Systems Become Alive 214Living Intelligence 216Programmable Biology 242Section Five:Who We Turn To Now 260Autonomous Care 262Emotional Outsourcing 276The Work Our Report Cant Do For You 298The Wrong Kind of Ready 300What Durabl