ENISA：2030年网络安全领域的潜在威胁预测报告（英文版）（20页）.pdf

1、FORESIGHT 2030 THREATSFORESIGHT 2030 THREATS1EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR FOREWORDReference to the report page:www.enisa.europa.eu/publications/enisa-foresight-cybersecurity-threats-for-2030The cybersecurity threat landscape is a complex ecosystem of threats,threats actors and attack techniques that are also

2、subject to the influence of world events such as pandemics and geopolitics.The best knowledge,and tools we have at hand today to reduce the impact of cyber threats might not fit tomorrows threat landscape.Can we foresee the full extent of the potential use or abuse of our current technological devel

3、opments?Even if we still cannot predict the future,we have the duty to anticipate emerging trends and patterns.In 2021,ENISA developed acybersecurity foresight methodological frameworkgrounded in foresight research and future studies.The framework was first used in 2022 to devise future scenarios an

4、d identifythreats and challenges likely to emerge by 2030.This methodology was produced in cooperation with the wider cybersecurity community.This booklet summarises upcoming challenges and provides for an assessment of the risks.We are now ready to design the cyber secure future ahead of us.Juhan L

5、epassaarExecutive Director2POTENTIAL THREAT ACTORS State-sponsored groups,criminal organisationsPOTENTIAL METHODS Sabotage,theft,network reconnaissance,malicious code,abuse of information leakagePOTENTIAL IMPACTS Disruption,malfunction,data loss,data leakageSUPPLY CHAIN COMPROMISE OF SOFTWARE DEPEND

6、ENCIES1More integrated components and services from third party suppliers and partners could lead to novel and unforeseen vulnerabilities with compromises on the supplier and customer side.?WHAT IFState-sponsored actors insert abackdoor in awell-known and popular open-source library on online code r