美国农业部：2024乌克兰家禽产品年度报告（英文版）（18页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:October 09,2024 Report Number:UP2024-0017 Report Name:Livestock and Products Annual Country:Ukraine Po

2、st:Kyiv Report Category:Livestock and Products Prepared By:Oleksandr Tarassevych Approved By:Megan Francic Report Highlights:Post expects livestock numbers and beef production to continue their decrease through 2025.Beef production efficiency remains low,with the majority of beef derived from dairy

3、and dual-purpose animals.Exports of both live animals and beef will decline due to lower animal inventory.Domestic beef consumption remains depressed due to low disposable incomes and competition with poultry and pork.Post predicts the 2024 pork price decline will precipitate a revenue drop for prod

4、ucers and will result in a pig number drop by the end of 2024.Similar performance is expected in 2025.Ukraines low domestic pork price will keep imports at low levels in 2024,with some rebound in 2025.Pork exports will remain hampered by African Swine Fever(ASF).The number of ASF cases is notably ri

5、sing,endangering commercial production and trade.2 Executive Summary:Russias war of aggression against Ukraine remains the most important factor impacting cattle and swine production,domestic consumption,and meat trade.The Ukrainian economy has overcome the initial shocks from the full-scale invasio

6、n.The countrys gross domestic product(GDP)rebounded to slow growth in 2023 and 2024,the currency exchange corridor was abolished in favor of a free exchange rate,and population outflows decreased significantly.Throughout 2023 and 2024,the Ukrainian livestock sector recovered from its 2022 downturn a