国际能源署（IEA）：2024全球能源与气候模型报告（英文版）（137页）.pdf

1、Global Energy and Climate ModelDocumentation-2024 4The IEA examines the full spectrum of energy issues including oil,gas and coal supply and demand,renewable energy technologies,electricity markets,energy efficiency,access to energy,demand side management and much more.Through its work,the IEA advoc

2、ates policies that will enhance the reliability,affordability and sustainability of energy in its 31 member countries,13 association countries and beyond.This publication and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory,to the delimitation of inter

3、national frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory,city or area.Source:IEA.International Energy Agency Website:www.iea.orgIEA member countries:AustraliaAustriaBelgiumCanadaCzech RepublicDenmarkEstoniaFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIrelandItalyJapanKoreaLithuaniaLuxembourgMexicoNeth

4、erlandsNew ZealandNorwayPolandPortugalSlovak RepublicSpainSwedenSwitzerlandRepublic of TrkiyeUnited KingdomUnited StatesThe European Commission also participates in the work of the IEAIEA association countries:Argentina BrazilChinaEgyptIndiaIndonesiaKenyaMoroccoSenegalSingapore South Africa Thailand

5、 UkraineINTERNATIONAL ENERGYAGENCYTable of Contents 1 Table of Contents Section 1:Overview of model and scenarios.5 1.1 GEC Model scenarios.6 1.2 Selected developments in 2024.9 1.3 GEC Model overview.12 Section 2:Cross-cutting inputs and assumptions.17 2.1 Population assumptions.17 2.2 Macroeconomi

6、c assumptions.18 2.3 Prices.19 2.4 Policies.22 2.5 Techno-economic inputs.23 Section 3:End-use sectors.25 3.1 Industry.25 3.2 Transport.31 3.3 Buildings.41 3.4 Hourly electricity demand and demand-side response.44 Section 4:Electricity generation and heat production.49 4.1 Electricity generation.49