兰德公司：2024年美国大选、信任和技术-为民主面临的“完美风暴”做好准备（英文版）（18页）.pdf

1、The 2020 U.S.presidential election was mired in controversy and conflict.Foreign governments interfered in the election,while some domestic leaders alleged election fraud before voting even began(Inskeep,2021;Marcellino etal.,2020;Posard etal.,2020).After the election,assertions that the elec-tion w

2、as“stolen”gained so much traction that,as the certification process got underway,a crowd gathered for a rally in Washington,D.C.,and subsequently turned violent,attacking the U.S.Capitol and causing injuries and deaths,including to law enforcement officers defending the building(Select Committee to

3、Investigate the January6th Attack on the United States Capitol,2022).In the months and years since then,messages discrediting the election results and the agencies and offi-cials involved in investigating the riot and election-related charges have continued unabated,particularly on social media(Sull

4、ivan,2023).These events further eroded many Americans trust in U.S.elections.One surveyconducted more than two years after the 2020 electionshowed that 30percent of Americans believed that President Joe Biden won the 2020 elec-MAREK N.POSARD,TODD C.HELMUS,MICHELLE WOODS,BILVA CHANDRAThe 2024 U.S.Ele

5、ction,Trust,and TechnologyPreparing for a Perfect Storm of Threats to DemocracyExpert InsightsPERSPECTIVE ON A TIMELY POLICY ISSUEApril 20242tion because of voter fraud(Monmouth University Poll-ing Institute,2023).As the United States prepares for the 2024 presidential election,these familiar messag

6、es could resurface,new sources of falsehoods could emerge to chal-lenge the credibility of the U.S.election system,and new technologiesincluding artificial intelligence(AI)could enable efforts to undermine confidence in the results.The RAND Homeland Security Research Division commissioned work to id