科尔尼：变化的世界：2025-2030年重塑全球格局及商业运营环境的五大关键因素研究报告（英文版）（30页）.pdf

1、Photo by Rachael Rinchiuso Kearney,ChicagoWorld in fluxGlobal Wildcards 20252030Five significant wildcards could dramatically shape the global outlook and the operating environment for business.Foreword 1Executive summary 2Global South at inflection 3Who belongs to the Global South,and how has it ev

2、olved?3 The geopolitical and economic ramifications of an emboldened Global South 5Outlook 6Business implications 6A taxing time in international trade policy 7Tariffs are playing a growing role in international trade policy 7Winners and losers of increased tariffs 9Outlook 10Business implications 1

3、0From kickbacks to deepfakes:mapping the future of corruption 11The state of global corruption 11Emerging technologies and other methods to combat corruption 13Outlook 15Business implications 15Power surge:can the world meet 21st century electricity demand?16Evolving electricity supply and demand ch

4、allenges 16Solutions to tackle increased electricity demand 18Outlook 19Business implications 19The new age of“super-empowered individuals”20The power of the super-empowered 20Empowering change 21Outlook 23Business implications 23Taking stock of our predictions from last year:Global Trends 20232028

5、25About Global Wildcards 26Foreword Finally,how do we navigate the new age of“super-empowered individuals?”To be sure,in the course of human history,individuals have demonstrated extraordinary influence in shaping society,but in an era dominated by social media,smartphones,and algorithmically target

6、ed messaging,levels of influence are reaching new heightsfor better and for worse.Please note that with this issue,we are rebranding the name of the publicationfrom Global Trends to Global Wildcardsto reflect the significant and growing discontinuous forces of change affecting the environment for gl