NREL：存储未来研究-四阶段框架与建模（50页）.pdf

1、Storage Futures Study: Four Phases Framework and ModelingJune 22, 2021Speakers: Paul Denholm, Four Phases Lead AuthorWill Frazier, ReEDS Diurnal Storage Lead AuthorNREL | 2Storage Futures StudyNREL is analyzing the rapidly increasing role of energy storage in the electrical grid through 2050.https:/

2、www.nrel.gov/analysis/storage-futures.html“Four Phases” - theoretical framework driving storage deploymentTechno-Economic Analysis of Storage TechnologiesDeep dive on future costs of distributed and grid batteriesVarious cost-driven grid scenarios to 2050Distributed PV + storage adoption analysisGri

3、d operational modeling of high-levels of storageOne Key Conclusion: Under all scenarios, dramatic growth in grid energy storage is the least cost option.SFS: Planned reports and discussed reports todayThe Four Phases of Storage Deployment: This report examines the framework developed around energy s

4、torage deployment and value in the electrical grid.Storage Technology Modeling Input Data Report : A report on a broad set of storage technologies along with current and future costs for all modeled storage technologies including batteries, CSP, and pumped hydropower storage.Grid-Scale Diurnal Stora

5、ge Scenarios : A report on the various future capacity expansion scenarios and results developed through this project. These scenarios are modeled in the ReEDS model.Distributed Storage Adoption Scenarios (Technical Report): A report on the various future distributed storage capacity adoption scenar

6、ios and results and implications. These scenarios reflect significant model development and analysis in the dGen model.Grid Operational Impacts of Storage (Technical Report): A report on the operational characteristics of energy storage, validation of ReEDS scenarioson capturing value streams for en