浩华：2025澳大利亚首都及重点城市酒店市场展望与洞察报告（6月版）（英文版）（48页）.pdf

1、JUNE QUARTER 2025 EDITIONAustraliaCapital City&Key MarketsHotel Market Outlook&InsightsHorwath HTL MethodologyHotel Market Outlook 2025 Horwath HTL-0.20.00.20.40.60.81.01.21.4Mar-19Jun-19Sep-19Dec-19Mar-20Jun-20Sep-20Dec-20Mar-21Jun-21Sep-21Dec-21Mar-22Jun-22Sep-22Dec-22Mar-23Jun-23Sep-23Dec-23Mar-2

2、4Jun-24Sep-24Dec-24Mar-25Jun-25Sep-25Dec-25Mar-26Jun-26Sep-26Dec-26Mar-27Jun-27Sep-27Dec-27Mar-28Jun-28Sep-28Dec-28Mar-29Jun-29Sep-29Dec-29Indexed to 2019(2019 Level=1)GDP(DAE Jun 25)ITA(TRA Jun 25,HHTL Adjusted)2019 LevelThe forecasted fastest growing industries in CY 2025 include Agriculture,Fores

3、try and Fishing(14.3%),Electricity,Gas,Water and Waste Services(4.4%)and Information Media and Telecommunications(4.3%).The outlook for growth for Accommodation and Food Services in CY 2026 has increased to 2.5%forecast by DAE in December 2025,from forecast of 1.2%for CY 2025.Although the global eco

4、nomic and geopolitical environment is becoming increasingly fragile,there are still reasons to be optimistic that the pace of Australian economic growth will strengthen through the remainder of 2025 and into 2026.YTD May 25,short term international visitor arrivals sit at 90.9%of 2019 volumes and ar

5、e not expected to return to pre-COVID levels until 2026.GDP and international Tourism Arrivals,Australia-December 2024Macroeconomic and Tourism ContextSource:Deloitte Access Economic Business Outlook June 25 Edition,TRA,Horwath HTLThe Deloitte Access Economics Australian Business Outlook forecasts G

6、DP growth in CY 2026 to show improvement,increasing to 2.3%(from the forecast 1.8%in CY 2025).The unemployment rate is expected to increase to an average of 4.4%(from 4.2%in CY 2025),while the population is forecast to expand by 1.4%and an increase of 1.5%to join the labor force in CY 2026).2025 Hor