美国农业部（USDA）：2025中国畜禽及产品年度报告（英文版）（21页）.pdf

1、 THIS REPORT CONTAINS ASSESSMENTS OF COMMODITY AND TRADE ISSUES MADE BY USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S.GOVERNMENT POLICY Required Report:Required-Public Distribution Date:September 05,2025 Report Number:CH2025-0165 Report Name:Livestock and Products Annual Country:China-Pe

2、oples Republic of Post:Beijing Report Category:Livestock and Products Prepared By:Jadon Marianetti and FAS China Staff Approved By:Eric Mullis Report Highlights:Post forecasts stable pork production in 2026 and reduced pork imports due to abundant domestic supplies.Post anticipates lower beef produc

3、tion and slightly higher imports to meet demand in price-sensitive segments.Retaliatory tariffs and unresolved facility registration issues continue to limit U.S.meat access to the Chinese market.2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY FAS China provides this analysis and reporting as a service to the U.S.agricultural

4、community,and to our farmers,ranchers,rural communities,and agribusiness operations in support of a worldwide agricultural information system and a level playing field for U.S.agriculture.Cattle Production:Post forecasts beef cattle production in 2026 to decline due to a smaller breeding cow invento

5、ry and persistently low calving efficiency.Many farms reduced breeding stock in 2024,and herd rebuilding has been slow despite a modest price recovery and continued government support.Cattle Imports:Post forecasts cattle imports in 2026 to remain low,in line with 2025 levels.Beef cattle imports are

6、expected to stay minimal,while dairy cattle imports will be constrained by weak milk prices,high costs,and reliance on in-house breeding systems among large operations.Beef Production:Post forecasts beef production in 2026 to decline modestly due to a reduced supply of slaughter-ready cattle.Post re