FIGURE 11 Country groupings based on likely enforcement of SAF targets post-2030
As of February 2026, the European Union (EU) number of SAF policies, ranging from full blending priorities. Legislation is newer and targets tend ambition statements. These countries can be Indonesia, Thailand, United Arab Emirates. introduce preliminary SAF strategies, incentives design and legislation, the definition of enforcement and roadmaps, but have not yet set long-term Highly likely targets: EU's 27 member states, United Kingdom. These are countries where States. These countries favour tax credits and long-term targets are enshrined in legislation. incentives rather than mandates at this stage. Likely targets: Brazil, India, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Turkey. Governments These countries are divided into four groups in the map, based on an assessment of the likelihood that governments will ensure that airlines flying out of their Source: HSBC analysis for Global Aviation Sustainability Outlok.