Table 3.1: Example analytical input variables based on the E-T-C framework (Environment, Threat Source, Capability) for misuse, loss of control, and accident risks.
way at various intervention points (See Section 3.2.4). Risk Modeling: To structure the complex relationships between threats, capabilities, and con- sequences, developers should employ established risk assessment techniques adapted for Al systems, as recognized in international standards such as ISO/IEC 31010:2019 [106]. Developers should select methodologies appropriate to the risk scenarios. Example risk modeling method- · Causal Modeling (e.g., Event Tree Analysis, Fault Tree Analysis): Mapping the "cause-to- consequence" flow, visualizing how a specific model capability (e.g., software vulnerability discovery) could combine with a threat actor (e.g., cybercriminal) to bypass controls and pendencies between variables, allowing developers to update the probability of a risk event as new evidence (e.g., a failed red-teaming attempt) is observed. monitors and utilize unlimited fine-tuning attacks. 21 This Framework focuses primarily on active loss of control scenarios.