Figure 9： Africa Solar PV Annual Installation Forecast： 2026 - 2029

Like the previous year's edition, this year GsC has considered the same three growth scenarios for the forecast modelling. The report prioritises data with a high level of certainty; hence the buffers have been incorporated into each scenario, which may account for some projects that may not materialize or face delays in 2025, as well as the projects that have not been reported. These scenarios are explained in detail in the Methodology section in the Appendices. However, to give an overview: The Low Growth Scenario assumes deteriorating market conditions, unsuccessful policies, and a lack of political will, resulting in decreased investment, project delays, and missed opportunities to tap Africa's solar potential. The High Growth Scenario models exponential growth with excellent market conditions, and indicates potential under optimal conditions.